NFL WEEK 1: Our official predictions for who wins this weekend

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Football is back!

After the Patriots and Chiefs kick off the season on Thursday night, football fans will be treated to a full slate of games on Sunday including a few fantastic matchups between proven teams Packers vs. Seahawks as well as new powerhouses that could take over the league this year Titans vs. Raiders .

The return of football also brings the return of the time-honored tradition of gambling on football.

So if you care to join me, this year I'll be doing my best to pick every game against the spread to the best of my abilities. For some games I'll do my best to offer you genuine gambling insight, for others, my picks will be based on gut and feel and how much I enjoy watching J.J. Watt and Derek Carr play football. But I promise to always be honest, and do my best to keep our wallets relatively intact along the way.

With that said, it's absolutely beautiful to have football back in our lives. Let's get to picking.

All lines courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.Kansas City Chiefs 9 at New England Patriots Thursday, 8:30 p.m. ET

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The pick: Chiefs 9

The logic: Ugh what an awful way to start this experiment. The Patriots make gamblers look dumb week in and week out, and this game will likely be more of the same. Between Andy Reid vs. Bill Belichick, Alex Smith vs. Tom Brady, the Patriots receiving corps of Cooks, Gronk, Hogan, and Amendola vs. Travis Kelce and not much else, none of the matchups look good.

But points are important when betting on sports, and nine points is a lot. Since 2000 these teams have met eight times and the Chiefs have covered nine points six of those times, and fell one point short on another occasion. When the Chiefs and Patriots met in the playoffs last season, they lost by just a touchdown.

There's a 70 chance this pick will look ridiculous five minutes into the game after the Pats have sprinted to a 14-point lead after electing to kick, but the Chiefs shouldn't be nine point dogs.

New York Jets 8 at Buffalo Bills Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET

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The pick: Bills -8

The logic: Laying eight points with the Bills and Tyrod Taylor's questionable health seems like an odd choice, but the Jets appear to be openly tanking the season, and it would be a brutal blow to their chances at the first overall pick next year to win their opening game. The Bills will be excited to play at home and have the unique opportunity to absolutely destroy someone. Why not run up the score?

Atlanta Falcons -7 at Chicago Bears Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET

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The pick: Bears 7

The logic: Sure, it's Mike Glennon going up against the team that almost beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, but it would be a crime not to bet the first home underdog of the season.

See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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